Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.268770 3.888609 4.627998 5.584992 6.805522 8.330325 1.041189e+01
2024-10-13 2.322250 3.041508 4.014777 5.466523 7.647266 10.925178 1.648746e+01
2024-10-20 1.947403 2.711248 3.833229 5.677115 8.793854 14.193852 2.517462e+01
2024-10-27 1.632984 2.373570 3.527306 5.564703 9.336974 16.670568 3.411445e+01
2024-11-03 1.512152 2.293703 3.585390 6.042456 11.058341 22.155532 5.401810e+01
2024-11-10 1.372177 2.152263 3.503615 6.235231 12.291512 27.315430 7.890338e+01
2024-11-17 1.275730 2.064464 3.492804 6.554617 13.925079 34.523227 1.209417e+02
2024-11-24 1.152448 1.908613 3.324216 6.497872 14.647256 39.752927 1.653585e+02
2024-12-01 1.064607 1.803598 3.233255 6.586403 15.790048 47.263623 2.401192e+02
2024-12-08 0.984823 1.702106 3.130849 6.621264 16.810820 55.333312 3.467448e+02
2024-12-15 0.938507 1.658485 3.140263 6.932409 18.829836 69.657107 5.791511e+02
2024-12-22 0.866518 1.554555 3.002652 6.830267 19.470549 78.585160 8.237531e+02
2024-12-29 0.799918 1.464355 2.905624 6.887325 21.014670 96.407539 1.476640e+03
2025-01-05 0.725082 1.349949 2.740260 6.729162 21.801532 112.618494 2.577759e+03
2025-01-12 0.684918 1.302806 2.723053 7.003480 24.599248 150.459916 6.822390e+03
2025-01-19 0.628670 1.212730 2.584366 6.857083 25.470683 176.310748 1.480743e+04
2025-01-26 0.613568 1.212094 2.670215 7.480602 30.731777 270.004448 1.199225e+05
2025-02-02 0.583681 1.173308 2.649194 7.733216 34.380787 369.947722 2.171721e+06
2025-02-09 0.562305 1.151501 2.669841 8.152990 39.643347 547.309769 NaN
2025-02-16 0.526595 1.090769 2.571101 8.078297 41.635041 684.438953 NaN
2025-02-23 0.500230 1.049864 2.522451 8.194850 45.300542 932.589298 NaN
2025-03-02 0.474298 1.007067 2.461195 8.240777 48.608384 1253.086095 NaN
2025-03-09 0.459840 0.991612 2.479601 8.651478 55.905854 2040.530131 NaN